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Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

If SpaceX lands anything successfully on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 20% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $97K. Market closes January 1, 2030.

technologyKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

20%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$29K
Resolution Rules

If SpaceX lands anything successfully on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030? (20% odds) | Forecastic