Forecastic

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 2% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $53K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsPolymarketCloses Jan 1

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

2%
Yes▲ 0pp
YES21¢
NO86¢
24h vol$2K
Liquidity$16K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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