Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 16% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $3.0M. 24-hour volume: $5K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
16%
Yes▼ 1pp
YES9¢
NO91¢
24h vol$5K
Open interest$1.2M
Resolution Rules
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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