Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?
If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $1.4M. 24-hour volume: $651. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
economicsKalshiCloses Jan 1
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?
4%
Yes
YES6¢
NO95¢
24h vol$651
Open interest$551K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market will close and determine on the first 10 AM ET following the occurrence of the event if the event occurs prior to the target date.