Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the weather category. Currently priced at 32% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $46K. Market closes January 1, 2030.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
weatherKalshiCloses Jan 1
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
32%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$13K
Resolution Rules
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
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