Forecastic

Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 35% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $1.2M. 24-hour volume: $5K. Market closes November 3, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Nov 3

Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?

35%
Yes▼ 3pp
YES25¢
NO76¢
24h vol$5K
Open interest$505K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Forecastic Analysis

Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.

Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass? (35% odds) | Forecastic