Forecastic

Will Idris Elba be the next James Bond?

If Idris Elba is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the entertainment category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $79K. Market closes January 1, 2030.

entertainmentKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Idris Elba be the next James Bond?

3%
Yes
YES5¢
NO99¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$33K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Idris Elba is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Forecastic Analysis

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