Filibuster weakened before 2027
If there is a change in U.S. Senate rules or precedent that lowers the threshold for cloture for any legislative action whose threshold for cloture at time of Issuance is three-fifths of all Senators duly chosen and sworn before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $50K. Market closes January 2, 2027.
Filibuster weakened before 2027
Resolution Rules
If there is a change in U.S. Senate rules or precedent that lowers the threshold for cloture for any legislative action whose threshold for cloture at time of Issuance is three-fifths of all Senators duly chosen and sworn before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Modifications to budget reconciliation rules are not encompassed and do not resolve the market to Yes. See full rules for examples.
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