Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
If the Republican Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 39% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $7.8M. 24-hour volume: $394K. Market closes February 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Feb 1
Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
39%
Yes▲ 1pp
YES37¢
NO64¢
24h vol$394K
Open interest$5.0M
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the Republican Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.
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