Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
If Bitcoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the crypto category. Currently priced at 64% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $171K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
cryptoKalshiCloses Jan 1
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
64%
Bitcoin (BTC)
YES36¢
NO65¢
24h vol$2K
Open interest$35K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If Bitcoin has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Return will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.
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