Forecastic

Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

If Donald Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 56% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $68K. 24-hour volume: $86. Market closes January 21, 2029.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 21

Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

56%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$86
Open interest$24K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Donald Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.

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Will Donald Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029? (56% odds) | Forecastic