Will the Fed cut rates 3 times?
If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 0% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $649K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
economicsKalshiCloses Jan 1
Will the Fed cut rates 3 times?
0%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$2K
Open interest$359K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
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