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NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the business category. Currently priced at 11% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $132K. 24-hour volume: $42. Market closes January 1, 2027.

businessPolymarketCloses Jan 1

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

11%
Yes▲ 3pp
YES—
NO—
24h vol$42
Liquidity$7K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Forecastic Analysis
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? (11% odds) | Forecastic