Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $1.0M. 24-hour volume: $300. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
Resolution Rules
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran. Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.
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