Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 0% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $121K. 24-hour volume: $1K. Market closes November 4, 2026.
Updated Trade on Polymarket
worldPolymarketCloses Nov 4
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
0%
Yes▼ 1pp
YES—
NO—
24h vol$1K
Liquidity$31K
Resolution Rules
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.