Forecastic

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the world category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $88K. 24-hour volume: $400. Market closes January 1, 2027.

worldPolymarketCloses Jan 1

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

3%
Yes▼ 1pp
YES4¢
NO97¢
24h vol$400
Liquidity$30K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Forecastic Analysis

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