Forecastic

Will Democratic win the House race for IA-3?

If the House member sworn in for IA-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 78% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $45K. 24-hour volume: $352. Market closes November 3, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Nov 3

Will Democratic win the House race for IA-3?

78%
Yes
YES84¢
NO17¢
24h vol$352
Open interest$38K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the House member sworn in for IA-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Forecastic Analysis

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Will Democratic win the House race for IA-3? (78% odds) | Forecastic