Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 21% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $44K. 24-hour volume: $10K. Market closes December 9, 2026.
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
Resolution Rules
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
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