Will the S&P 500 be between 5000 and 5199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 5000-5199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the finance category. Currently priced at 1% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $141K. Market closes December 31, 2026.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
financeKalshiCloses Dec 31
Will the S&P 500 be between 5000 and 5199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
1%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$120K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 5000-5199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.