Forecastic

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves HHS Secretary in before 2027?

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves as HHS Secretary before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 10% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $279K. 24-hour volume: $451. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves HHS Secretary in before 2027?

10%
Yes
YES16¢
NO85¢
24h vol$451
Open interest$95K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves as HHS Secretary before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

Forecastic Analysis
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves HHS Secretary in before 2027? (10% odds) | Forecastic