Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before Jan 2027?
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $46K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before Jan 2027?
4%
Yes
YES4¢
NO98¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$17K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
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