Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before April 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 32% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $814K. 24-hour volume: $200. Market closes April 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Apr 1
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?
32%
Yes▼ 1pp
YES22¢
NO79¢
24h vol$200
Open interest$266K
Resolution Rules
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before April 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.