Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028?
If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 16% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $103K. 24-hour volume: $596. Market closes January 1, 2028.
Will the United States acquire any territory not under its sovereignty (as of Issuance) before Jan 1, 2028?
Resolution Rules
If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.