Forecastic

Who will win the CA-11 House election?

If Scott Wiener wins the CA-11 House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 78% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $98K. 24-hour volume: $18K. Market closes November 3, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Nov 3

Who will win the CA-11 House election?

78%
Scott Wiener
YES79¢
NO22¢
24h vol$18K
Open interest$56K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Scott Wiener wins the CA-11 House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Forecastic Analysis

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Who will win the CA-11 House election? (78% odds) | Forecastic