Will the Democratic Party hold 46 seats in the 120th Congress?
If the Democratic Party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 2% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $316K. 24-hour volume: $39K. Market closes February 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Feb 1
Will the Democratic Party hold 46 seats in the 120th Congress?
2%
Yes
YES3¢
NO97¢
24h vol$39K
Open interest$249K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If the Democratic Party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
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