Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?
If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 16% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $68K. 24-hour volume: $382. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?
Resolution Rules
If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement. Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement. A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient. If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
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