Will Reform win the next U.K. election?
If Reform receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 28% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $76K. Market closes August 31, 2029.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Aug 31
Will Reform win the next U.K. election?
28%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$12K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If Reform receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.