Forecastic

Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027?

If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the United States of America before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $89K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027?

5%
Yes
YES5¢
NO97¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$15K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the United States of America before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.

Forecastic Analysis
Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027? (5% odds) | Forecastic