Forecastic

Will Trump waive taxes for people earning under $150k?

If the President or Congress waives or ends income taxes for any year on persons earning less than $150,000 a year before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $77K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Trump waive taxes for people earning under $150k?

3%
Before 2027
YES4¢
NO98¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$34K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the President or Congress waives or ends income taxes for any year on persons earning less than $150,000 a year before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This includes an executive order or action directing income taxes for households earning less than $150,000 be waived (or equivalently, that the income tax is foregone, eliminated, or nullified) for any year, or a bill becoming law which reduces the federal income tax to 0% for those earning less than $150,000 for any year.

Forecastic Analysis

Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.