How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
If SpaceX has more than 210 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $50K. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
technologyKalshiCloses Jan 1
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
3%
Above 210
YES2¢
NO99¢
24h vol$0
Open interest$22K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If SpaceX has more than 210 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
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