Forecastic

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 76% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $113K. 24-hour volume: $37. Market closes January 20, 2029.

politicsPolymarketCloses Jan 20

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

76%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$37
Liquidity$30K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Forecastic Analysis

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