How high will unemployment get before 2027?
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $344K. 24-hour volume: $24. Market closes January 8, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
economicsKalshiCloses Jan 8
How high will unemployment get before 2027?
5%
Above 5%
YES—
NO—
24h vol$24
Open interest$125K
Resolution Rules
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.
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