Forecastic

Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?

If Tom Holland performs / is announced as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the entertainment category. Currently priced at 50% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $207K. 24-hour volume: $434. Market closes January 1, 2028.

entertainmentKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?

50%
Yes
YES51¢
NO51¢
24h vol$434
Open interest$58K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Tom Holland performs / is announced as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

For the purposes of this Contract, Tom Holland satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Tom Holland is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Tom Holland appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Spider-Man in any official performance, showing, or release of Avengers: Doomsday. Additional clarification(s): If Avengers: Doomsday is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Tom Holland was officially announced in Spider-Man, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Spider-Man (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Tom Holland is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Avengers: Doomsday is cancelled or completes its run without Tom Holland being announced or performing in Spider-Man, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Spider-Man. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Disney. Any references to Disney or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Disney and Kalshi.

Forecastic Analysis
Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday? (50% odds) | Forecastic