Forecastic

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2029?

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 23% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $739K. 24-hour volume: $2K. Market closes January 20, 2029.

technologyKalshiCloses Jan 20

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2029?

23%
Yes▼ 16pp
YES24¢
NO77¢
24h vol$2K
Open interest$306K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.

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