Will there be more than 2 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the weather category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $45K. 24-hour volume: $641. Market closes December 2, 2026.
Will there be more than 2 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
Resolution Rules
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
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