Forecastic

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This is a polymarket prediction market in the markets category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $107K. 24-hour volume: $221. Market closes January 1, 2027.

marketsPolymarketCloses Jan 1

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

5%
Yes▼ 1pp
YES5¢
NO98¢
24h vol$221
Liquidity$17K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Forecastic Analysis

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