Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 2% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $652K. 24-hour volume: $278. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?
Resolution Rules
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included. The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.
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