Forecastic

Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

If Ulf Kristersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 19% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $86K. 24-hour volume: $144. Market closes January 1, 2028.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

19%
Yes
YES20¢
NO82¢
24h vol$144
Open interest$39K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If Ulf Kristersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Forecastic Analysis

Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.