Forecastic

Human moon landing in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 2% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $2.0M. 24-hour volume: $40. Market closes January 1, 2027.

technologyPolymarketCloses Jan 1

Human moon landing in 2026?

2%
Yes
YES1¢
NO99¢
24h vol$40
Liquidity$24K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Forecastic Analysis

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