Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?
If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 50% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $52K. Market closes March 4, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
economicsKalshiCloses Mar 4
Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?
50%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$5K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Only the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.