Forecastic

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

This is a polymarket prediction market in the culture category. Currently priced at 2% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $938K. 24-hour volume: $12. Market closes January 1, 2027.

culturePolymarketCloses Jan 1

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

2%
Yes
YES3¢
NO99¢
24h vol$12
Liquidity$20K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

Forecastic Analysis

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