Forecastic

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?

If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 3% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $97K. 24-hour volume: $1K. Market closes January 1, 2028.

technologyKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028?

3%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$1K
Open interest$50K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples). Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify. If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award.

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Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028? (3% odds) | Forecastic