Forecastic

Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the technology category. Currently priced at 11% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $65K. 24-hour volume: $313. Market closes January 1, 2027.

technologyKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

11%
Yes
YES19¢
NO82¢
24h vol$313
Open interest$24K
Resolution Rules

If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Forecastic Analysis
Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena? (11% odds) | Forecastic