Will Adam Schiff be arrested before Jan 2027?
If Adam Schiff is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 5% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $55K. 24-hour volume: $57. Market closes January 1, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Jan 1
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before Jan 2027?
5%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$57
Open interest$12K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If Adam Schiff is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.