Forecastic

Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?

If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the economics category. Currently priced at 95% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $2.6M. 24-hour volume: $6K. Market closes January 1, 2027.

economicsKalshiCloses Jan 1

Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?

95%
Yes▼ 2pp
YES95¢
NO5¢
24h vol$6K
Open interest$1.1M
Resolution Rules
Primary

If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).

Forecastic Analysis

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