Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana?
If Seth Bodnar (as an Independent) is sworn in as a Senator of Montana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 6% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $239K. 24-hour volume: $21K. Market closes November 3, 2027.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Nov 3
Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana?
6%
Yes
YES8¢
NO92¢
24h vol$21K
Open interest$121K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If Seth Bodnar (as an Independent) is sworn in as a Senator of Montana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.