Forecastic

Will the Republican party win the governorship in California

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 4% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $1.4M. 24-hour volume: $60K. Market closes November 3, 2027.

politicsKalshiCloses Nov 3

Will the Republican party win the governorship in California

4%
Yes
YES4¢
NO96¢
24h vol$60K
Open interest$776K
Resolution Rules
Primary

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Secondary

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Forecastic Analysis

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