What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the health category. Currently priced at 49% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $44K. Market closes January 1, 2029.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
healthKalshiCloses Jan 1
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
49%
At least 5000
YES—
NO—
24h vol$0
Open interest$10K
Resolution Rules
If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.