Forecastic

Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 22% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $192K. 24-hour volume: $20. Market closes January 20, 2029.

politicsKalshiCloses Jan 20

Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

22%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$20
Open interest$71K
Resolution Rules

If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Forecastic Analysis
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? (22% odds) | Forecastic