Will Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?
If Samuel Alito resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a kalshi prediction market in the politics category. Currently priced at 60% probability of YES. Total volume traded: $53K. 24-hour volume: $14. Market closes January 20, 2029.
Updated Trade on Kalshi
politicsKalshiCloses Jan 20
Will Samuel Alito resign during Trump's term?
60%
Yes
YES—
NO—
24h vol$14
Open interest$17K
Resolution Rules
Primary
If Samuel Alito resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Death is not resignation and will not resolve a market to Yes.
Sign in to get a grounded three-sentence read of this market.